The market sentiment deteriorated amid fresh US-China tensions. Investors remain cautious as increasing virus cases may damage economic activity again.
5 things you need to know this week
US CB Consumer confidence (Tue, 17:00 MT time) – as you may know, this indicator shows the level of consumer spending. That means you will spend more if you confident in economic conditions. Analysts expect it to drop to 136.3 points from reaching 138.4 points in September. Remember, the higher-than-expected level is good for the greenback.
The Bank of Japan press conference (Wed, tentative) – some experts anticipate the probable changes to the monetary policy of the BOJ, following the latest statements from its Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. A combination of the hawkish statements from the Bank of Japan and a sell-off in the equity markets can be quite supportive for the JPY.
Canadian GDP m/m (Wed, 15:30 MT time) – this is a nice opportunity to trade the loonie during this week, too. Last time the economic activity of the country increased by 0.2%. There is no official forecast yet, but it will definitely be announced before the release of the actual data. We will keep you updated.
Monetary policy summary from the Bank of England (Thu, 15:00 MT time) – while there are no expectations of the rate hike, the bank can make some supportive comments for the GBP. It will help the currency to recover during the uncertain Brexit times.
US non-farm employment change and employment rate (Fri, 15:30 MT time) – the NFP is forecast to expand to 191 thousand people from 134 thousand in September. At the same time, the unemployment rate will reach 3.8%, according to analysts. This level is higher than in September (3.7%), which can have a negative impact on the currency. We will see how the actual data will affect the USD.
- During the Brazil elections, Jair Bolsonaro from Social Liberal Party is proclaimed as a new president-elect. His victory speech contained his goals to reduce the size of the state and the public deficit and to cut bureaucracy and regulations.
- French finance minister Bruno Le Maire told the press he did not see any risks of contagion from Italy’s budget crisis in the European Union (EU).
- China is planning to impose the anti-dumping tax on the chemicals from the US, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, and Thailand.
- UK's Exchequer Phillip Hammond will deliver his speech today at 18:30 MT time. During his latest interview, he told the country need to find a new tax and spending plan. He also suggested extending the supportive measures if the solution on Brexit problem is not reached soon.
Have a successful week of trading!
Risk-on is back on the market. Riskier currencies and stocks are in favor. Gold is rising too as investors try to hedge.
Riskier currencies and stocks are in favor of investors. Surprisingly, gold rallies too. Let’s have a closer look.
The European central bank will publish the main refinancing rate and make a statement on Thursday, July 16, at 14:45 MT time. Also, the ECB’s press conference will be later at 15:30 MT time.
Optimism about the Moderna vaccine improved the market sentiment. Let’s have a closer look, what’s happening today.
The Canadian central bank will announce interest rates and make a speech on Wednesday, July 15, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be later at 18:15 MT time.