Brazil is struggling on both the humanitarian and the financial frontы. As a result, Brazilian real is weakening
Additional volatility for the USD is expected!
The United States will publish non-farm payrolls (NFP), also known as non-farm employment change on at 14:30 MT time on November 1. As usual, the indicator will be released together with the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. What these indicators are about? Non-farm payrolls represent the change in the number of employed people during the previous month (without farmers). Traders pay attention to the release, as the USD gets volatile right after it. The unemployment rate shows the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed but looking for a job. Finally, the indicator of average hourly earnings shows the change in the price businesses pays for labor. According to the forecasts, the number of payrolls will advance by 90 thousand, while the unemployment rate will reach 3.6%. Analysts' projections are poor this time due to the strike of the GM workers and US-China trade uncertainties. At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings is forecast to increase by 0.3%.
• If the actual figures of NFP and average hourly earnings are higher, and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the actual figures of NFP and average hourly earnings are lower, and the unemployment rate is higher than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Canada will publish employment change and an unemployment rate on Friday, at 15:30 MT time.
USD/CHF and EUR/CHF rose to tactical highs. What's next?
US retail sales will be out on Thursday, April 15, at 15:30 MT. It is a significant release for traders as it will impact the US dollar.
As the earnings season kicks in, JPMorgan is the first to impress us with the better-than-expected data!
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will hold a meeting on Wednesday, April 14, at 05:00 MT.