The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
CAD is in focus
Follow Canadian core retail sales on September 18 at 15:30 MT time!
Instruments to trade: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, EUR/CAD
To begin with, there are two types of reports. The first type is core retail sales, which exclude automobiles. The second one is retail sales without a "core" prefix, which includes everything. Automobile sales usually make up nearly 20% of the total value of retail sales, but they are quite volatile and may misrepresent the trend. Therefore, the core report is a better measurement of consumer spending. The last report showed a growth of 15.7% in June and marked the largest increase in retail sales for the whole history of recordings. That sharp leap was caused by the reopening of most businesses after the lockdown in Canada. Consumers, who were waiting for such a long time, started spending more than ever. This report will definitely add some fresh volatility to the loonie. The Canadian dollar depreciated sharply when the coronavirus started, but then it almost recovered all its losses. Now it’s trading at the levels of late January. Watch out the report and remember the following.
- If retail sales are better than the forecasts, the CAD will rise.
- Otherwise – fall.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.