The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
Chinese yuan is in focus
China’s Manufacturing PMI will be out on Wednesday at 04:00 MT time!
Instruments to trade: USD/CNH, CNH/JPY, EUR/CNH
Manufacturing PMI is the leading indicator of economic health in the country. Basically, it is the survey of purchasing managers, which reveals how they assess current business conditions. Being the world’s second largest economy, Chinese figures usually influence the whole market. These days, the impact has increased amid the coronavirus pandemic as investors measure the global recovery by Chinese economic figures. That’s why this report won’t be important only for the Chinese yuan itself, but also for other financial assets. It will add fresh volatility to the market and may change the overall sentiment. If China’s PMI is better than the forecasts, it will improve the investor’s mood and push up riskier currencies such as the AUD, the NZD, the GBP, and stocks. In the opposite scenario, if China’s PMI is worse than anticipated, it will deteriorate the market sentiment and push upwards safe-haven currencies such as the USD and the JPY.
- The better China’s PMI – the higher the risk tolerance!
- The worse China’s PMI – the lower the risk appetite!
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
The USA will publish unemployment claims on October 22 at 15:30 MT time. How to trade after the release?
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.