Thursday ended with the EUR/USD being high above of local resistance of 1.10. What's the target now?
Common currency is intact
On Monday, key currencies were nearly intact in Europe. However, a positive tone in stock markets in the wake of Friday’s American GDP report assisted the Australian and New Zealand dollars to rally a bit versus the evergreen buck.
Experts haven’t noticed an evident impact on the common currency from the general election in Spain, with the center-left PSOE party as a winner. Pedro Sanchez, PSOE leader can’t form a majority cabinet with Podemos, the more radical of the country’s two left-wing parties that makes it less probable that Spain is going to have budgets with excessive deficits drafted and further destabilize the fiscal consensus in the EU.
The common currency was worth $1.1161, a bit above the two-year minimum that it sank to the previous week. In fact, it was backed by profit-taking in oil against the backdrop of Twitter remarks from Donald Trump at the weekend. American leader told that talked to Saudi Arabia as well as others about soaring crude flow. Apparently, lower crude prices normally benefit the European economy, as an oil importer. On the other hand, such petrocurrencies as the Russian ruble face an adverse effect. From the previous week’s maximum, it has slumped by nearly 1.5%.
Estimating the evergreen buck’s purchasing power against its main counterparts the USD index hit 97.708, nearly 0.3% below the fresh maximum for this year recorded on Tuesday.
The common currency might react later to EU monetary data. Additionally, private-sector credit surge is anticipated to have stuck with 3.3% in March, intact from February.
The UK pound has started the trading week in wait-and-see mode in anticipation of a speech by BoE chief Mark Carney.
The EUR made a significant rise on the news of the stimulus expansion. Will it last long?
April seasonal patterns weren’t supposed to work, but somehow they did. Even a strong fundamental issue such as the global recession amid the coronavirus couldn’t overwhelm it. That’s why May seasonal patterns may work as well.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.