Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Does the AUD stand a chance?
The Australian NAB Business Confidence indicator will be announced at 02:30 MT time on Tuesday.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, AUD/JPY, AUD/CHF
Needless to say, Australia is not in the best company of circumstances now. Climate change keeps torturing the country by repeating statewide bushfires. At the same time, the coronavirus reduces the country’s most extensive source of trade income – China. No surprise, the last two monthly indicators were below 0, which means worsening economic conditions. Consequently, the AUD stands little chance against other currencies. Will the picture improve this week? Fundamentals say, unlikely. Still, there is always a factor of unexpected change. In the end, the market cannot know everything (if you like to know how well the market “knows” things, you can check our investigation on the Efficient Market Hypothesis).
- If the indicator is higher than predicted, the AUD will rise.
- If the indicator comes lower than the forecast, the AUD will fall.
Have a look at the key financial instruments on Monday, February 28. Geopolitics is currently on all news frontlines. Western nations escalated sanctions on Russia for the invasion of Ukraine.
The United States will publish the Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, December 30, at 15:30 GMT+2 (MetaTrader time).
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.