The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
FOMC Meeting Minutes
|September meeting of the Federal Reserve brought the market a lot to digest. First of all, the Fed announced that it will start reducing its $4.5-trillion balance sheet from October. At first, monthly reductions will equal to $10 billion. Over the next year, the amount will rise to $50 billion a month. There were no surprises for the market in this announcement: traders were ready for such move and had priced it in.|
|The more interesting thing was that the Fed hinted at its plans to raise rates this year – most likely in December. Many traders had earlier disregarded such scenario, thinking that concerns about the aftermath of hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria would keep the Fed from increasing borrowing costs. The hawkish surprise was for the benefit of the US dollar.|
|The FOMC members also updated forecasts for the federal funds rate. It turns out that they expect 3 more rate hikes in 2018.|
|The minutes of the Fed’s September meeting will give traders more information about the central bank’s intentions. The release of this document will be a market-mover. It will influence the USD in all major pairs.|
Happy Monday, dear traders! Hope you had a great weekend and you’re ready for the last trading week in 2022! Later this week we’ll announce some exciting news for you, but now let’s look through some interesting news! Today’s events: USA, UK, Hong…
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
2022 was rough: inflation, energy crisis, and plenty of other controversial situations…