Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
NFP: an opportunity for the USD?
The level of non-farm payrolls, also known as non-farm employment change or NFP is expected at 15:30 MT time on October 4.
The indicator represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month without farmers. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. The previous release of jobs data disappointed the market. Despite a higher-than-expected level of average hourly earnings (0.4% vs. %0.3 expected), the level of NFP declined by 130 thousand jobs. It resulted in mixed trading of the USD. This time it may lead to a different outcome.
• If the NFP is higher than the expectations, the USD will rise;
• If the NFP is lower than the expectations, the USD will fall.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.