Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
NFP: an opportunity for the USD?
The level of non-farm payrolls, also known as non-farm employment change or NFP is expected at 15:30 MT time on October 4.
The indicator represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month without farmers. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. The previous release of jobs data disappointed the market. Despite a higher-than-expected level of average hourly earnings (0.4% vs. %0.3 expected), the level of NFP declined by 130 thousand jobs. It resulted in mixed trading of the USD. This time it may lead to a different outcome.
• If the NFP is higher than the expectations, the USD will rise;
• If the NFP is lower than the expectations, the USD will fall.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.