During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
NFP: an opportunity for the USD?
The level of non-farm payrolls, also known as non-farm employment change or NFP is expected at 15:30 MT time on October 4.
The indicator represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month without farmers. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. The previous release of jobs data disappointed the market. Despite a higher-than-expected level of average hourly earnings (0.4% vs. %0.3 expected), the level of NFP declined by 130 thousand jobs. It resulted in mixed trading of the USD. This time it may lead to a different outcome.
• If the NFP is higher than the expectations, the USD will rise;
• If the NFP is lower than the expectations, the USD will fall.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.