US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
The BOC may highlight risks for the CAD
The BOC rate statement will be published at 17:00 MT time on March 4.
Instruments to trade: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, CAD/CHF
The Bank of Canada bank releases the rate statement followed by the decision on the interest rate 8 times per year. While the interest rate may remain unchanged, the bank may provide its overview of the economic conditions and offer clues on the outcome of future decisions. At the previous meeting on January 22, the BOC kept its interest rate unchanged at 1.75%. The bank announced the risks remaining in the economy and noted that it will continue following them closely. The central bank's Governor Stephen Poloz did not exclude the possibility of a rate cut if the weakness of the Canadian economy is more persistent. The Canadian dollar weakened greatly after his dovish comments. As coronavirus continues making markets uncertain, let's see what Canada's regulator tells us this time.
- If the BOC is hawkish, the CAD will get stronger;
- If the BOC is dovish, the BOC will get weaker.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.