The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
The tariffs are delayed
According to the US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, the additional tariffs on Chinese imports, which include cell phone and laptop computers, will be delayed until December 15.
The Chinese yuan has strengthened on the news and pulled USD/CNH below the 50-period SMA on H4. After the breakout, the next key level will lie at 6.9680. From the upside, the 7.0743 level will be in focus.
The closest Chinese trade partner, Australia, sees the rise of its domestic currency, too. The Australian dollar has strengthened against the USD and tested the 0.6805-0.6817 levels on H4. If the aussie overcomes this range, the next key level at 0.6857 will be in focus. If the bearish pressure increases and AUD/USD falls below the 50-period SMA, the pair will be vulnerable to the further fall to 0.6749.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.