Brazil is struggling on both the humanitarian and the financial frontы. As a result, Brazilian real is weakening
USD/TRY: what next?
As Turkey made a purchase of the Russian missile system earlier this year, the US has threatened to sanction it, seeing that act as something incompatible with NATO membership. In response, on Monday the Turkish president Mr. Erdogan made it clear that the NATO military bases in Turkey may be closed if the US proceeds with the sanctions. Consequently, during the last three days, the Turkish lira has been depreciating against the US dollar in view of the unfolding complications around Turkey.
On the H4, USD/TRY rose to the level of 5.90, which is an inch away from the October high of 5.92. Although the price made a stop at this resistance, there has not been any other news after Mr. Erdogan’s comment to soften the pressure on the Turkish lira. In fact, there has not been any news at all that could shift the market away from a grim economic outlook for Turkish lira at this moment. For this reason, even if it seems unlikely to see USD/TRY climbing further up right now, there is nothing to convince the market otherwise.
USD/CHF and EUR/CHF rose to tactical highs. What's next?
During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
US retail sales will be out on Thursday, April 15, at 15:30 MT. It is a significant release for traders as it will impact the US dollar.
As the earnings season kicks in, JPMorgan is the first to impress us with the better-than-expected data!
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will hold a meeting on Wednesday, April 14, at 05:00 MT.