The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Will the RBA Rate Statement push the AUD?
RBA Rate Statement is on Tuesday at 07:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, AUD/CHF, EUR/AUD
In March, the interest rate of Australia was reduced to 0.25%. Since then, it was kept steady. The Reserve Bank of Australia informed at that time that there would be no intention to increase the rate until there is full employment, a 2-3% inflation rate, and other indications that the economy is recovering. Since then, although the economy is indeed recovering, the indicators are too far away from warranting the rate change. Hence, we will look at the tone of the RBA press conference to gather details of the outlook for the AUD. If these are positive enough, it may lead to another upswing with AUD/USD.
- If the bank’s tone is hawkish, the AUD will gain value.
- If the bank’s tone is dovish, the AUD will fall.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.