Market Crash Incoming?
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
Will the RBA Rate Statement push the AUD?
RBA Rate Statement is on Tuesday at 07:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, AUD/CHF, EUR/AUD
In March, the interest rate of Australia was reduced to 0.25%. Since then, it was kept steady. The Reserve Bank of Australia informed at that time that there would be no intention to increase the rate until there is full employment, a 2-3% inflation rate, and other indications that the economy is recovering. Since then, although the economy is indeed recovering, the indicators are too far away from warranting the rate change. Hence, we will look at the tone of the RBA press conference to gather details of the outlook for the AUD. If these are positive enough, it may lead to another upswing with AUD/USD.
- If the bank’s tone is hawkish, the AUD will gain value.
- If the bank’s tone is dovish, the AUD will fall.
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S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
Investor Positivity May Fade After Powell's Speech and CPI Release
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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Focus on Banks' Meeting and NFP
The RBA and the Bank of Canada will add volatility to the AUD and the CAD, while USD is expected to be boosted by the Non-farm payrolls.
