The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
All attention to Biden's inauguration
2021-01-19 • Updated
Joe Biden will take the post of president of the USA on the morning of 20 January 2021. Trump is going to skip the inauguration. What will be the market reaction? Let’s find out!
Biden will arrive in Washington on Tuesday, where Trump isn’t expected to meet him. Well, tensions are rising, and the market volatility as well.
The USD has surged in January due to rising US Treasury yields and some investor caution about the strength of the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. However, most analysts predict that traders should be ready for a weaker dollar from here.
The dollar has already retreated from a one-month high ahead of Biden’s inauguration tomorrow. Investors await Biden’s huge stimulus package of $1.9 billion to be unveiled soon. As a result, the market sentiment lifted and pressed safe-haven currencies like the dollar and Japanese yen down.
Elsewhere, the USD dropped as traders are getting ready for Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen to talk later.
According to ING, “on fiscal policy, Yellen is to suggest that the US `act big’ and make use of the low borrowing costs. On the dollar, it should be reiterated that the new administration is committed to the market-determined exchange rate. Both are in line with our weak USD outlook”.
Bullish forecasts for gold and stocks
According to Saxo Bank, Yellen’s speech will underpin gold: “I struggle to see Yellen saying anything that won’t eventually turn out to be gold supportive”. “Saying that the administration will not pursue a weak dollar policy is not the same as saying they won’t allow the dollar to weaken.”
Stock indices climbed ahead of Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen’s speech as she is expected to expand government support actions to boost the US economy.
In contrast to the mentioned above, some analysts consider that Biden’s inauguration will drag the USD upwards. His enormous stimulus package will boost the US economic activity and speed up the pace of recovery. Janet Yellen, Treasury Secretary nominee claimed that the US wouldn’t seek a weaker dollar for the competitive advantage. It may raise the demand for the USD.We would be happy to tell you what is going to happen, but nobody can predict with 100% how the new policy in the US will impact the markets. Follow the news, keep an eye on charts, and try to join the market flow!
EUR/USD significantly rose despite the dead cross, which signals further decline. If the pair manages to rise to the high of January 14 at 1.2170, the way up to the next resistance of 1.2220 will be clear. Support levels are at the recent low of 1.2050 and the key psychological mark of 1.2000.
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
What is going on with this energy asset these days, and should we prepare for further falls?
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.