2021-01-19 • Updated
Joe Biden will take the post of president of the USA on the morning of 20 January 2021. Trump is going to skip the inauguration. What will be the market reaction? Let’s find out!
Biden will arrive in Washington on Tuesday, where Trump isn’t expected to meet him. Well, tensions are rising, and the market volatility as well.
The USD has surged in January due to rising US Treasury yields and some investor caution about the strength of the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. However, most analysts predict that traders should be ready for a weaker dollar from here.
The dollar has already retreated from a one-month high ahead of Biden’s inauguration tomorrow. Investors await Biden’s huge stimulus package of $1.9 billion to be unveiled soon. As a result, the market sentiment lifted and pressed safe-haven currencies like the dollar and Japanese yen down.
Elsewhere, the USD dropped as traders are getting ready for Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen to talk later.
According to ING, “on fiscal policy, Yellen is to suggest that the US `act big’ and make use of the low borrowing costs. On the dollar, it should be reiterated that the new administration is committed to the market-determined exchange rate. Both are in line with our weak USD outlook”.
According to Saxo Bank, Yellen’s speech will underpin gold: “I struggle to see Yellen saying anything that won’t eventually turn out to be gold supportive”. “Saying that the administration will not pursue a weak dollar policy is not the same as saying they won’t allow the dollar to weaken.”
Stock indices climbed ahead of Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen’s speech as she is expected to expand government support actions to boost the US economy.
In contrast to the mentioned above, some analysts consider that Biden’s inauguration will drag the USD upwards. His enormous stimulus package will boost the US economic activity and speed up the pace of recovery. Janet Yellen, Treasury Secretary nominee claimed that the US wouldn’t seek a weaker dollar for the competitive advantage. It may raise the demand for the USD.We would be happy to tell you what is going to happen, but nobody can predict with 100% how the new policy in the US will impact the markets. Follow the news, keep an eye on charts, and try to join the market flow!
EUR/USD significantly rose despite the dead cross, which signals further decline. If the pair manages to rise to the high of January 14 at 1.2170, the way up to the next resistance of 1.2220 will be clear. Support levels are at the recent low of 1.2050 and the key psychological mark of 1.2000.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
Welcome to October, the tenth month of 2023. For this installment of What to Trade, I have handpicked a few of my favorite trade ideas for the month. Let’s go over a few of them.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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