Why Didn't Oil Prices Calm Despite OPEC+ Attempts?
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
All attention to Biden's inauguration
2021-01-19 • Updated
Joe Biden will take the post of president of the USA on the morning of 20 January 2021. Trump is going to skip the inauguration. What will be the market reaction? Let’s find out!
Biden will arrive in Washington on Tuesday, where Trump isn’t expected to meet him. Well, tensions are rising, and the market volatility as well.
The USD has surged in January due to rising US Treasury yields and some investor caution about the strength of the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. However, most analysts predict that traders should be ready for a weaker dollar from here.
Biden’s stimulus
The dollar has already retreated from a one-month high ahead of Biden’s inauguration tomorrow. Investors await Biden’s huge stimulus package of $1.9 billion to be unveiled soon. As a result, the market sentiment lifted and pressed safe-haven currencies like the dollar and Japanese yen down.
Yellen’s approach
Elsewhere, the USD dropped as traders are getting ready for Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen to talk later.
According to ING, “on fiscal policy, Yellen is to suggest that the US `act big’ and make use of the low borrowing costs. On the dollar, it should be reiterated that the new administration is committed to the market-determined exchange rate. Both are in line with our weak USD outlook”.
Bullish forecasts for gold and stocks
According to Saxo Bank, Yellen’s speech will underpin gold: “I struggle to see Yellen saying anything that won’t eventually turn out to be gold supportive”. “Saying that the administration will not pursue a weak dollar policy is not the same as saying they won’t allow the dollar to weaken.”
Stock indices climbed ahead of Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen’s speech as she is expected to expand government support actions to boost the US economy.
Opposite view
In contrast to the mentioned above, some analysts consider that Biden’s inauguration will drag the USD upwards. His enormous stimulus package will boost the US economic activity and speed up the pace of recovery. Janet Yellen, Treasury Secretary nominee claimed that the US wouldn’t seek a weaker dollar for the competitive advantage. It may raise the demand for the USD.We would be happy to tell you what is going to happen, but nobody can predict with 100% how the new policy in the US will impact the markets. Follow the news, keep an eye on charts, and try to join the market flow!
Technical tips
EUR/USD significantly rose despite the dead cross, which signals further decline. If the pair manages to rise to the high of January 14 at 1.2170, the way up to the next resistance of 1.2220 will be clear. Support levels are at the recent low of 1.2050 and the key psychological mark of 1.2000.
Similar
What is going on with gas?
What is going on with this energy asset these days, and should we prepare for further falls?
What will move the market on September 6-10?
Last Friday’s NFP was disappointing. The reaction of the markets was astonishing. Will it last longer? Let's find out the main trade opportunities for the upcoming week.
Latest news
What to Trade on July 4-8
Last week was bearish for risky assets such as stocks, oil, gas, and crypto. Will the upcoming week change the situation across the markets? Let’s look at it in detail!
When Will the US Stocks Bear Market Bottom?
US stocks have delivered their worst first half of a year in more than 50 years triggered by the Fed's attempt to control inflation and growing concerns about recession.
The Dollar's Strength or Other Currencies' Weakness?
The value of the US dollar continues to rise, but is this because of the strength of the dollar itself or just the weakness of the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound? Since the beginning of the year, the US dollar index has been up 8…
