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Brent: how will OPEC+ decision influence the price?
2021-07-15 • Updated
It seems that Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates are still discussing a potential agreement over OPEC+ policy about cooling oil prices by increasing oil supply.
Oil demand forecast.
After OPEC+ reduced oil production by almost 10 million barrels per day in 2020 to control the supply level during the pandemic, the world economy has started to go through a recovery stage. According to OPEC+ forecast, by Q4 2021, global oil demand will average 99.45 million b/d, compared with 99.98 million b/d in 2019. That is why during the last two weeks OPEC+ has been discussing an increase in oil production. In case this decision is approved, the price correction will be inevitable.
On the daily chart, Brent is trading above 50, 100, 200-day moving averages. It has formed a rising wedge with a divergence on the RSI oscillator, which is a bearish pattern. As soon as the price will cross the bottom line of the wedge it might go down to the 73$, 69.50$, 57$ support levels. Until the bottom line of the pattern has not been crossed the main goal is 77$.
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