Dollar gains after touching three-week lows. What is next?
Dollar gains after touching three-week lows. What is next?
2021-02-16
• Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.
Fibonacci Levels
XAU/USD: Gold facing a further weakness the last hours and trading below the 23.6% retracement area.
US Market View
The US stock market was closed on Monday for Presidents Day, but February is still on track to be the strongest month for the major Wall Street indices since November. US stocks are seen pushing higher Tuesday, continuing recent gains amid growing confidence the country’s ramped-up vaccination program will lead to a prompt economic recovery. Germany, Europe’s largest economy, rose sharply in February on expectations consumption will take off in the coming months, the ZEW economic research institute said earlier Tuesday.
Oil prices hovered near 13-month highs on Tuesday, supported by a cold snap that shut wells in the biggest US producing state Texas, although gains were capped by a wage deal in Norway that averted supply disruptions in Europe.
The US dollar was mired at a three-week low on Tuesday as growing optimism about the outlook of the global economy in the coming months. Sterling, extended gains to hit $1.3950, its highest level since April 2018 as Britain leads the world in per-capita vaccination speed. However, in the last hours, US Dollar gains strength.
USA Key Point
The NZD is the strongest, while the JPY is the weakest.
Germany February ZEW survey current situation comes at -67.2 vs -66.5 than expected.
BOJ's Kuroda supports that BOJ policy effective in maintaining long-term rates at low levels
The Netflix stock (NFLX), with a market cap of $145.17B and a whooping 10 000+% rise since its inception 16 years ago, experienced some turbulence for a short period last year while trading around the $250 share price. However, the NFLX stock quickly recovered and rose to over $300 towards the end of the previous quarter of 2022.
The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.