Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
Dollar is firmer, reflation bets climb
2021-02-09 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
CAD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold after further weakness is trading below the 23.6% retracement area.
US Market View
The US is ready for “extreme competition” with China over the next four years, President Joe Biden said at the weekend. In an interview with CBS, Biden appeared to suggest that US policy toward China will be less confrontational than under his predecessor but will not differ significantly in its aims.
US stock markets are set for a run at new record highs on Monday, against a backdrop of an improving public health picture and the steady progress of President Biden’s $1.9 stimulus package.New infections of Covid-19 fell to under 100 000 for the first time in nearly three months at the weekend, while the strain on hospital capacity also eased further, with only 81 000 admissions, its lowest since late November. On the downside, AstraZeneca reported its vaccine had limited efficacy against the new variant of the virus first identified in South Africa.
Crude oil prices hit $60 a barrel for the first time in a year, as part of a multi-faceted rally in risk assets across global markets. Prices were supported by Biden’s tough-sounding words on Iran, which took the edge off fears for a quick resumption and ramp-up of Iranian oil exports.
USA Key Point
- The USD is the strongest and the GBP is the weakest.
- Bitcoin soars to fresh all-time high on Tesla investment.
- Merkel: Virus infections must come down for another two more weeks.
- The cable retreats below 1.3700 on firmer dollar, tests key near-term level.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.