The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
EUR/GBP lost pace
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 0.8900; TP 0.8840; SL 0.8920
SELL 0.8950; TP 0.8870; SL 0.8970
EUR/GBP fell despite the fact that the British pound got weakened by the news that Boris Johnson on Tuesday won the contest to be the next British prime minister increasing the odds of a no-deal Brexit.
It happened as the currency pair was long due for a correction. For now, it retraced 23.4% of the May-July advance and got to the 50-day MA at 0.8910. The next support, the 38.2% Fibo retracement level, is at 0.8835.
Last week’s candlestick on W1 is a “shooting star”. It means that it will be hard for EUR/GBP to overcome resistance at 0.9050. There’s bearish divergence on D1 - a sign that the downside correction may continue. On H4, we see a “head and shoulders” pattern. The neckline at 0.8950 is providing a closer resistance.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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