On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
EUR/GBP lost pace
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 0.8900; TP 0.8840; SL 0.8920
SELL 0.8950; TP 0.8870; SL 0.8970
EUR/GBP fell despite the fact that the British pound got weakened by the news that Boris Johnson on Tuesday won the contest to be the next British prime minister increasing the odds of a no-deal Brexit.
It happened as the currency pair was long due for a correction. For now, it retraced 23.4% of the May-July advance and got to the 50-day MA at 0.8910. The next support, the 38.2% Fibo retracement level, is at 0.8835.
Last week’s candlestick on W1 is a “shooting star”. It means that it will be hard for EUR/GBP to overcome resistance at 0.9050. There’s bearish divergence on D1 - a sign that the downside correction may continue. On H4, we see a “head and shoulders” pattern. The neckline at 0.8950 is providing a closer resistance.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
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