The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
EUR/NZD: where to sell?
2020-02-13 • Updated
EUR/NZD formed a “hanging man” pattern on the W1 and went down to trade below the 100- and 50-week MAs. The decline of the pair was caused by the weakness of the EUR because of the euro area’s low economic figures and the strength of the NZD after the policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Technically the pair has potential to slide lower in line with the harmonic pattern.
On the H4, EUR/NZD formed an “Inside bar”. If the current candlestick at this timeframe closes below 1.6835, the pair will likely fall to 1.6775 (78.6% Fibonacci of the January-February advance). A break below the latter will open the way down to 1.6665 (January lows).
The near-term outlook will remain bearish as long as the pair remains below 1.6920 (50% Fibo).
Trade ideas for EUR/NZD
SELL 1.6770; TP 1.6700; SL 1.6790
SELL 1.6920; TP 1.6945; SL 1.6775
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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