ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2021-01-13 • Updated
Fed’s plans to cut bond-buying sent shivers down investors' spines. Let's find out why.
Some Fed policymakers claimed that they are thinking to cut asset purchases by the end of the year. These days Fed buys bonds at $120 billion a month. However, the most senior central banker Richard Clarida disagreed with them and said that no changes should be made until 2022.
Investors are afraid of the taper tantrum. This phrase describes the market panic and instability after US Treasury yields surged in 2013 after the Fed announced its plans to cut bond-buying or in other words claimed future tapering.
Fed buys bonds to increase the amount of money on the market to allow consumers to spend and businesses to invest more. When the market is flooded with dollars, the USD falls.
When the Fed feeds the economy with money for too long, there are unavoidable consequences. When the bank stops injecting additional money, the market becomes volatile, and even panic can ensue.
Just imagine, since the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed had tripled its balance sheet from $1 trillion to $3 trillion by purchasing almost $2 trillion in Treasury bonds. As a result, the Fed had become one of the world’s biggest buyers.
One day, the Fed said it would cut bond-buying (just shared plans, not made it). Investors were negatively shocked as with reduced Fed purchases bond prices would fall. Bond investors sold bonds, the price of bonds dropped as a result. Of course, falling bond prices always mean higher yields, so yields of US Treasuries rose, the US dollar surged as well, and gold plunged.
Fed officials have claimed that they “learned lessons certainly from six or seven years ago” and tapering of bond-buying would be publicly announced well in advance to avoid a surge in Treasury bond yields. Anyway, keep an eye on Fed's annoucements!
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?
Get ready for some suspense as the Bank of Canada faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates or keep them on hold. The resilient Canadian economy and the goal of curbing inflation further are at the heart of this dilemma. While some money markets and economists predict another rate hike, others believe the central bank should exercise caution and wait, hinting at a possible increase later in the summer.
Let's take a closer look at Australia's recent economic performance. Brace yourselves for some interesting developments. The country's economy experienced its slowest growth since late 2021 in the first quarter, raising doubts about the Reserve Bank of Australia's rapid interest rate increases. Despite the bank's record-breaking 12 rate hikes in the last 13 months, the resource-rich economy only grew by a modest 0.2% in the quarter, falling short of economists' expectations.
Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.
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