The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.
Forex majors: short-term and long-term
2021-05-20 • Updated
EUR/USD: a downswing looming
At the beginning of the virus hit, EUR/USD was in the zone of 1.10. By the end of 2020, it rose to 1.2350. Since then, it’s been going mostly downwards as the USD is gaining momentum with the recovering US economy. Currently, it trades around 1.20, and if the US economic optimism stays for another month or two, we are likely to see the pair challenge the tactical supports of 1.17 and 1.16.
From the depths of 1.20 at the beginning of the pandemic, this pair has been going upwards almost in a straight line to reach 1.42 in February. Since then, it dropped some of the gains and has been floating below 1.40. Pound’s offensive may have stopped due to the accumulating effect of Brexit as the UK is seeing a lower financial dynamic than before. Locally, 1.38 and 1.37 are the supports bears may be aiming at. If these get broken in the coming weeks, it may be a start of a whole new multimonth downswing back to 1.20.
EUR/GBP: bouncing upwards or five-year lows
While this pair dropped to 0.83 in the first part of 2020, it has been trading around 0.90 in the second part. However, it ceded most of the gains during previous months going down to 0.85 in April. That level turned out to be a tactical low that sent the currency pair into the upside. EUR/USD bounced off that level a month ago to reach 0.87 – this is the current resistance level. Currently, the pair is on the way downwards after bouncing off it a few days ago. If bears keep pulling, it may reach 0.86 and aim at 0.85 once again. In the larger perspective, the behavior of EUR/GBP in the coming weeks will indicate if it is going to re-take the gains made through 2020 or go further downwards to the five-year lows of 0.83.
US100 broke through the strong resistance trendline, following July's inflation numbers on Wednesday, which were less than analysts expected…
Powell wants a soft landing for inflation, as Greenspan did in 1994. But it looks like he will get a hard landing.
For those who may be unfamiliar with Price Action trading, the horizontal arrows represent areas where the market structure was broken. As you can see in the scenario above, price broke below the previous low at the two marked instances
Let's start off with a look at the Daily timeframe on Bitcoin. We currently see price reacting to the rally-base-rally demand zone between the 15,600 - 14,300 price area. Price also seems to have found support off the trendline support as marked in the image above. Interestingly, this means the overall bias on BTCUSD is Bullish.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are virtual national money. The idea of creating such currencies came to the authorities after the success of cryptocurrencies, which also exist only in digital form.