ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-11 • Updated
Trade idea
SELL 1.3165; TP1 1.3120; TP2 1.3085; SL 1.3185
BUY 1.32; TP 1.3260; SL 1.3180
Here’s another short-term trade idea based on pursuing the market’s correction (remember that this kind of trade is riskier than trend trading).
GBP/CHF got capped last week by the descending 200-week MA at 1.3320. This is a very strong resistance level. On D1, we can see that the pair rapidly turned down from that level. The weekly pivot point is located at 1.3186, and GBP/CHF is now trading below this level. There are reasons to expect that the pound will slide a bit more before it gets to support line of the uptrend which has been in place since the start of the year.
The return above 1.32 is needed to let the pair retest 1.3260 and 1.33.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
As I earlier indicated in my article this week, I am expecting an upward push from the Dollar as a reaction from the Demand zone I have marked out. The PPI release earlier moved prices a bit but lacked sufficient momentum to cause a significant break of structure - and thus, no change of trend.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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