GBP/NZD has been correcting up since the middle of December. The pair formed an inverted “Head and Shoulders” pattern, the targets of which lie around 0.8980/0.90. This is the area where the pair will also meet resistance of the declining 50-day MA.
On H4, the pair formed what looks like bearish “Three drives” pattern and may correct down to 0.8750/00. At the same time, a break above the short-term resistance at 0.8900 will let the pair to reach its targets at 0.8980/0.90.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
If you've followed my analyses closely for a while now you'll already understand why I always look to the price action on the DXY (US Dollar) chart for clarity on how to approach trading the major pairs. Looking at the chart above, we see clearly the descending wedge leading price off right into the PIVOT demand zone
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.