GBP/USD: daily outlook

GBP/USD: daily outlook

The British pound is hovering around key resistance line at 1.2495 being almost intact after the UK labor market report. The data was a mixed bag with jobless claims rising to the record 25.5K unseen from 2011, steady unemployment rate and upbeat wages.

Yesterday, GBP/USD rose to its monthly high on the better-than-expected inflation figures that came out of the UK. Many analysts believe that consumer prices will continue rising thanks to weak pound and surging oil prices. However, the heightened inflation rate will unlikely push the Bank of England to tighten its monetary policy. BoE’s officials said at their last meeting that they won’t be in rush to raise interest rates in the near-term future. It seems that they are prepared to tolerate inflation above the 2% target. So, we don’t expect them undertaking any measures until inflation hits at least 3%.

There are plenty of news on the Brexit front. EU members mainly backed the wording contained in draft negotiating guidelines written by European Union President Donald Tusk after Theresa May formally notified the European officials about the UK’s intentions to leave the union. The formal approval of the guidelines will be delivered at the summit in Brussels on April 29. But even after the release of the EU negotiating stance, the talks on the EU-UK future trade relationships will probably start after elections in France and then Germany. This would offer the British pound a short respite to regain its value in the near-term future.

The technical outlook for GBP/USD after the pair broke the range of strong resistances at 1.2463 (the diagonal trendline and 100-H4 MA), 1.2495 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on H4 timeframe) is bullish. There is a room for a further upsurge to 1.2555 (April 3 high).  On the downside, the immediate supports can be found at 1.2433, 1.2375 (200-H4 MA). 

Similar

Latest news

GBP/USD: confirmed "Thorn" pattern

The last "Pennant" pattern has been broken, so bulls found resistance at 1.2915. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to move on, so we should...

gbp

Deposit with your local payment systems

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Internal error. Please try again later

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera