ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-11 • Updated
The British pound fell against the dollar in the past week as the UK data indicated that manufacturing, industrial and construction output declined in May. A slightly stronger USD which was brought about by an upbeat NFP release resulted in a swift correction towards 1.2865.
The economic figures pointing to an economic slowdown released in the course of the past week may prevent the Bank of England from rising its borrowing costs. UK average hourly earnings and unemployment data are due on Wednesday. An indication of wage growth would slightly raise the probability of a rate hike this year and provide a modest support to sterling. Towards the end of the week, traders will be focused on the Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony as well as on the spate of the US economic data. If traders qualify Yellen’s statement as hawkish, the USD will gain some strength. The US inflation report, retail sales, and industrial production data will be released on Friday. Strong readings could also accord some support to the US dollar.
GBP/USD has recently dropped below 1.2875 (50 day MA). The technical outlook is still neutral though. The pound has likely moved into a consolidation phase. In the upcoming sessions, it will be trading within the broad range of 1.2800 (23.6% Fibo traced from this year low) and 1.3045 (this year high). The immediate bias is to probe lower levels. A break of the lower border of consolidation range will likely lead to the continuation of the downward movement towards 1.2682 (100-day MA), 1.2640 (38.2% Fibo level).
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?
The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.
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