ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-11 • Updated
Trade ideas
SELL 1.3130; TP1 1.3080; TP2 1.3020; SL 1.3145
BUY 1.3235; TP1 1.33; TP2 1.34; SL 1.3215
There can be no doubt that a spike in volatility awaits the British pound today: the UK parliament will vote on Brexit.
GBP/USD has made big progress last week. The weekly pivot point lies at 1.3080: buyers will dominate as long as the pair’s trading above that point. However, on W1 the pound has reached resistance of the declining 50-week MA at 1.3220. On H4 and D1 we see that the price went rather far away from the moving averages. All of these points at the significant risk of a correction. The decline below 1.3135 will open the way down to 1.3080 and probably even 1.3015. Only above 1.3230 we will target 1.33 and 1.3425.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
As I earlier indicated in my article this week, I am expecting an upward push from the Dollar as a reaction from the Demand zone I have marked out. The PPI release earlier moved prices a bit but lacked sufficient momentum to cause a significant break of structure - and thus, no change of trend.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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