We have spoken about the JPY’s return already, and now we need to speak of it again. Why? Look at the chart.
There is hardly any other currency on the Forex market against which the USD lost so much value in the last weeks. The US Dollar was at 112.22 on February 20-21, and just touched 107.40 recently – that’s an almost 5% loss in just two weeks. By the way, current disposition may be a good chance to apply the 30-pips-a-day trading strategy, even though it normally is used on shorter timeframes - now may be a good moment to act on it. But let’s put things into the context and have a mid-term perspective.
Mid-term
On the daily chart below, the recent drop takes the currency pair to challenge the November-2019 lows next. The closest one lies at 106.60 and seems not that far away, especially in the current circumstances. If things go really bad for the USD, the August-2019 low of 105.00 will be waiting down there. Nothing the Fed’s readiness to react to the virus consequences by reducing the interest rate on March 18, keep your hand on the pulse and watch the dynamic: if there is no change in the global economic rhetoric, the pressure will keep dragging the USD down in the mid-term, and JPY will be its best counterpart to indicate where the market goes.
The Netflix stock (NFLX), with a market cap of $145.17B and a whooping 10 000+% rise since its inception 16 years ago, experienced some turbulence for a short period last year while trading around the $250 share price. However, the NFLX stock quickly recovered and rose to over $300 towards the end of the previous quarter of 2022.
The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?