2020-10-09 • Updated
Oil dropped below $37 per barrel at the beginning of September. By the middle of the month, it was in $41. October saw it drop to the same range of $36.50-37, just slightly higher. Finally, now we are witnessing it come again to $41-41.15. So the question is: will bounce down again as it did three weeks ago, or it will break the resistance and aim at $43.50?
Hurricane Delta seems to leave little room for doubts: the price will rise. This category 3 storm in the Gulf of Mexico has forced the emergency shutdown of many businesses, including those of oil extraction, many of which are located in the south of the US – exactly where the hurricane is expected to hit. Therefore, this temporary stall of oil production will lead to a consecutive local shortage of oil supply, tilting the balance towards higher prices. In case you like geopolitics, this is happening at the background of the OPEC emerging from the virus with the high market share as many US oil producers had to discontinue their business because of low prices in the previous months. In this sense, Delta boosts the oil price and the OPEC’s tactical position at the same time.
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The EUR/USD pair is making gains, approaching multi-month highs around 1.0960, driven by a weakened USD and Christine Lagarde's somewhat hawkish remarks before the European Parliament. Minor housing data from the U.S., specifically New Home Sales for October, came in below expectations but didn't significantly impact the pair. Lagarde, President of the...
Global equities on Wall Street experienced a mixed session following the Thanksgiving holiday, heading for the most significant one-month rally since November 2020. MSCI's global shares index slightly eased but was still on track for an 8.5% monthly gain, fueled by growing investor confidence that U.S. interest rates...
Brent crude futures is maintaining stability this Friday, with traders awaiting an OPEC+ meeting that might lead to further supply cuts. Brent crude was down 8 cents at $81.34 a barrel, following a 0.7% drop in the previous session.
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