The big stategic picture remains bullish for euro against all currencies
The big stategic picture remains bullish for euro against all currencies
2020-12-04
• Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Further bearish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous lows.
Fibonacci Levels
XAG/USD: Silver consolidates above 61.8% retracement area. Buyers have returned.
European Market View
Asian shares scaled a record high on Friday on growing prospects of a large U.S. economic stimulus package, while hopes that coronavirus vaccine rollouts will boost the global economy underpinned investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include EZ Construction PMI, US and Canadian Labour Market reports, US Durable Goods (R), Baker Hughes Rig Count, BoE's Saunders, Tenreyro, Fed's Evans, Bowman and Kashkari speeches.
In commodities, oil prices got an additional lift after OPEC and Russia agreed to slightly ease their deep oil output cuts from January by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) even as they failed to find a compromise on a broader and longer term policy.
The United States topped 14 million known COVID-19 infections with over 100,000 patients hospitalized for the first time. California imposed stay-at-home orders to take effect when intensive care units approach capacity in the coming days.
EU Key Point
France's Beaune supports that Europe would veto any Brexit deal that is deemed unsatisfactory
Germany October factory orders +2.9% vs +1.5% m/m expected
Germany reports 23,449 new coronavirus cases in latest update today
Biden says coronavirus economic aid bill should be passed; he will ask for more once in office
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.