2023-04-18 • Actualizada
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations. Core CPI inflation was 5.6%, also in line with predictions. Furthermore, the Federal Open Market Committee's recent staff projections suggest a "mild recession" in 2023, followed by a subsequent recovery over the next two years. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett predicts further bank failures but reassures depositors that they have nothing to fear. Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what can we expect from major stocks in light of these recent events?
On the Daily timeframe, Tesla is clearly trading within a wedge and is currently approaching the trendline resistance. There is also a rally-base-drop supply zone intersecting the trendline resistance, thus, giving more credence to the possibility of a bearish outcome once the price tests into the resistance area. Given the ongoing price war in the EV markets and that Tesla has had to cut prices five times this year, I'm confident we will get some interesting reactions from the resistance area.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 167.69
Invalidation: 211.81
According to the charts, Microsoft stock prices have reached an all-year high and are currently trading within the pivot zone on the weekly timeframe. The rally-base-drop supply zone also fits perfectly within this pivot zone. Remember, a trendline resistance is rising right into the pivot zone. These confluences confirm, to a large extent, a bearish correction.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 262.33
Invalidation: 296.07
The news of Apple's high-yield savings account launch had everyone talking, but not a surprise to some. Despite the remarkable initiative of launching the 4.15% interest rate savings account, Apple stocks may encounter turbulence on their way up based on observing the price action on the charts. The resistance trendline of the flag pattern is expected to kick off a good amount of reaction, given that the trendline aligns perfectly with the supply zone as highlighted. This may not necessarily impact the overall bullish trend, though.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 152.04
Invalidation: 177.46
The rising channel intersecting a major trendline resistance at the 200-Day Moving Average resistance, all within a pivot zone on the Daily timeframe, tells a beautiful story still being written 'on Amazon.' The reaction from the point of intersection of all these three factors is expected to add the final piece of the puzzle, which I am confident will be bearish.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 100.98
Invalidation: 110.20
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Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 39600... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 39750... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 39150
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 17910 con TP:18098.07, TP2:18277 y TP3: 18415 Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 17850 con TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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