2019-11-11 • Updated
The US dollar index (DXY) declined below 93.50 on Wednesday. The USD was pressured by the decline of the US Treasury yields. American data came out mixed on Wednesday: there was a slight increase in core CPI growth rate, but wages remained soft. Next support for DXY lies at 93.05 (October 19 low). The US will release unemployment claims and Philly Fed manufacturing index at 15:30 MT time and industrial production at 04:15 MT time on Thursday.
EUR/USD rose above 1.1800 for the first time in 3 weeks. Demand for the euro rose as investors resumed buying European equities and the region’s economic figures remain strong. Resistance is at October high of 1.1880 and 1.1910.
GBP/USD is hesitating around 1.3170 after the release of the UK labor market figures. Wage growth exceeded forecast a bit, although the inactivity rate – a number of people not working or seeking job – rose by most in nearly 8 weeks. The release of retail sales on Thursday is the next important event in British economic calendar at 11:30 MT time. In addition, the market will await comments from the Bank of England’s governor Carney during the day. On the upside, the pair’s limited by resistance line from September highs at 1.3210. Support is in 1.3090 area (support line since February) ahead of 1.3000 (psychological level).
AUD/USD fell as Australian wage price index disappointed. The Aussie found support at 0.7575 (long-term support line). Attempts to recover will face resistance at 0.7625 (previous support), 0.7650. On Thursday, Australia will release labor market figures at 02:30 MT time.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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