2021-03-16 • Updated
This week may fairly be called a week of monetary policy reports. On Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, we will have the US Fed, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan provide their interest rates and monetary policy reports respectively. Therefore, it makes sense to expect possible movements in the USD pairs as well as those with the GBP and JPY on the corresponding days.
After bouncing downwards from below the tactical resistance of 1.20, this pair trades under 50-MA. While the mid-term outlook speaks in favor of the USD, local bearish action is a very likely scenario – especially if the US Fed comes with an upbeat domestic economic outlook. The support of 1.1830 may be the target to watch in this case.
Gold bounced off the resistance of 1740. Although it trades above the 50-MA, the lower highs formed in the last two weeks in combination with the failure to break the mentioned resistance suggest that bears may drag it down. 1680 is the local support to look at.
This pair trades at 8-month highs. The resistance of 109.50 left by the June performance is one step away and may be passed if the US Fed’s report supports the USD. On the other hand, hawkish tones from the BOJ may reverse the movement and send USD/JPY back downwards.
After reaching 1.42, GBP/USD fell to 1.39 where it trades currently. However, that’s still within the larger uptrend. Therefore, bulls may get back to lift the pair to the local highs of 1.40.
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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