Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
USD, GBP, JPY: the week of interest rates and monetary reports!
2021-03-16 • Updated
What will move the market this week?
This week may fairly be called a week of monetary policy reports. On Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, we will have the US Fed, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan provide their interest rates and monetary policy reports respectively. Therefore, it makes sense to expect possible movements in the USD pairs as well as those with the GBP and JPY on the corresponding days.
After bouncing downwards from below the tactical resistance of 1.20, this pair trades under 50-MA. While the mid-term outlook speaks in favor of the USD, local bearish action is a very likely scenario – especially if the US Fed comes with an upbeat domestic economic outlook. The support of 1.1830 may be the target to watch in this case.
Gold bounced off the resistance of 1740. Although it trades above the 50-MA, the lower highs formed in the last two weeks in combination with the failure to break the mentioned resistance suggest that bears may drag it down. 1680 is the local support to look at.
This pair trades at 8-month highs. The resistance of 109.50 left by the June performance is one step away and may be passed if the US Fed’s report supports the USD. On the other hand, hawkish tones from the BOJ may reverse the movement and send USD/JPY back downwards.
After reaching 1.42, GBP/USD fell to 1.39 where it trades currently. However, that’s still within the larger uptrend. Therefore, bulls may get back to lift the pair to the local highs of 1.40.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
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