Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
USD: risk is making its way in?
2020-07-06 • Updated
The economic background is still pretty heavy these days. The WHO warns that the worst is still to come in relation to the virus, and world state authorities are lowering their expectations of the economic output of their respective countries. Nevertheless, the risky mood doesn’t want to stay neglected juts because of the dire reality and makes its way into the stock and Forex market. While the former starts this week with a gain, the latter sees a weaker USD across the board.
The Aussie, a primary marker of risky market inclinations, is testing the resistance of the mid-term sideways channel that was containing it since the middle of June. If the trend stays, it will soon challenge the 6-month high set by the same June performance.
The British pound shows a similar trajectory to the one of the AUD but with stronger fluctuation and deviation from the main trend. After declining most of June, it is now looking upwards at the resistance of 1.2540.
The euro gives a stronger performance against the USD and seems to be confident with its higher lows than with its bullish spikes during the last 2 weeks. That pushes to the idea that if the mood persists throughout the week, it will cross the upper border of the trend and come to test 4-moths highs made in June at 1.1380.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
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