What will happen? FOMC press conference is among the primary methods the Fed uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy…
USD/CHF: back to the upside
2021-03-22 • Updated
Since the last global economic crisis, the USD has been trading against CHF at approximately equal value. USD/CHF rarely dropped more than 10% and was quick to recover the losses to the same level of 1.00 all along the last several years.
However, March 2020 changed the layout. USD/CHF experienced a very heavy blow of fluctuation and started going down: by the end of 2020, it was above 0.88.
Eventually, in December 2020, Donald Trump labeled Switzerland a "currency manipulator". The statement was then revoked by other US officials but the Swiss National Bank took measures to stop the appreciation of the Swiss franc.
Currently, one US dollar is worth approximately 0.92 Swiss francs.
During its last press conference, the SNB advised that the interest rate will be kept steady at -0.75 where it is now at least through 2022. By then, if the inflation and economic dynamics are at the expected level of full recovery, the monetary stance may be adapted to the new economic environment.
Until then, however, we may take it that the monetary course of SNB will keep the same direction. Therefore, we may expect that the SNB will try to move the Swiss franc to pre-virus levels - meaning, closer to 1.00 for USD/CHF.
Therefore, in the coming months, we may see a further bullish push in USD/CHF - until the current enter the stabilization zone 1.00-0.97.
- Use high timeframes
- Watch for bullish chart formations
- Unless reversals occur, USD/CHF is likely to keep gaining value until it reaches 1.00-0.97
- As long as the payout stays the same, it's a long-term buy opportunity for position-trading bulls
The US broad-market index, S&P 500, has been pressed below the 50-day moving average for the first time since March! Why?
Bitcoin At the end of the past week, Bitcoin broke through the big resistance level of $50 400 and reached $51 500 after the worse-than-expected US labor data…
The stock market has reversed, and now it’s going lower and lower…
Walmart is one of the biggest retail corporations in the US, with $244 billion in total assets. Does it worth buying amid rising prices and supply concerns that shatter the world economy?
Japan's inflation is set to reach 2% in April's reading, for the first time since 2015. But what about the weaker Yen?!