2022-12-16 • Updated
Trade ideas
Are you searching for trade opportunities? Here you go!
Forex
The US dollar was rallying for a long time, driven by expectations for soon Fed tapering but then dropped because of the uncertainty over omicron. The appearance of the new virus variant shook the markets and led to a surge in demand in safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Besides, omicron raised concerns that the US central bank can delay a rate increase and add to the USD's fall. However, Fed Chair Powell signaled his intention to taper faster, and it supported the USD. Now, traders eagerly await the FOMC meeting on December 16. For now, EUR/USD is likely to continue trending down. The key support level is 1.1200. If it breaks it, it may fall to 1.1100.
Stocks
S&P 500 has reversed up from 4500. If it manages to break above the resistance level of 4550, it may jump back to 4700. Pfizer and Moderna reacted first to the new Covid-19 variant, omicron. As a result, Pfizer rocketed to the record high while Moderna surged above $375 for the first time since October. The movements in the stock market highly depend on the omicron spread and vaccination progress.
Oil
Crude oil keeps falling. XBR/USD (Brent oil) dropped below $70 for the first time since August, while XTI/USD (WTI oil) fell below $65. Why? The US and other countries released millions of barrels from their reserves, and also the new coronavirus variant raised concerns over oil demand. If the current tendency remains, XTI/USD may drop to $62, XBR/USD – to $65.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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