The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
Will EUR/CAD follow EUR/AUD?
2020-03-04 • Updated
The Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision at 17:00 MT time. According to the forecast, the regulator will lower the key interest rate from 1.75% to 1.25%.
On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its key rate from 0.75% to 0.5%. The AUD, however, strengthened versus the EUR. If you look at the chart of EUR/AUD, you will see that the pair went down on the day of the meeting and the following day.
Just like EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD has soared during the period since February 20. There’s a chance that the pair will follow the path of EUR/AUD after the BOC meeting. Technically, EUR/CAD met resistance at 1.4945 (100-week MA). The return below the 2018 resistance line in the 1.4880 area will be a bearish sign. On the H4, there’s bearish divergence. The decline below 1.4860 will open the way down to 1.4830 (200-day MA) and 1.4770 (November high).
Trade idea for EUR/CAD
SELL 1.4860; TP1 1.4830; TP2 1.4770; SL 1.4875
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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