2020-03-04 • Updated
The Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision at 17:00 MT time. According to the forecast, the regulator will lower the key interest rate from 1.75% to 1.25%.
On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its key rate from 0.75% to 0.5%. The AUD, however, strengthened versus the EUR. If you look at the chart of EUR/AUD, you will see that the pair went down on the day of the meeting and the following day.
Just like EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD has soared during the period since February 20. There’s a chance that the pair will follow the path of EUR/AUD after the BOC meeting. Technically, EUR/CAD met resistance at 1.4945 (100-week MA). The return below the 2018 resistance line in the 1.4880 area will be a bearish sign. On the H4, there’s bearish divergence. The decline below 1.4860 will open the way down to 1.4830 (200-day MA) and 1.4770 (November high).
SELL 1.4860; TP1 1.4830; TP2 1.4770; SL 1.4875
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
Emerging market countries, including the BRICS bloc, are expressing frustration with the US dollar's dominance in the global financial system. While there have been discussions about creating alternative currencies to challenge the dollar's dominance, no concrete proposals have emerged. Instead, these countries are considering expanding trade using their own currencies to reduce reliance on the dollar.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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