The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
5 important things this week will bring us
- AUD CPI, Trimmed Mean CPI (Wed, 04:30 MT (01:30 GMT)) – the Australian currency needs support to continue the upward movement. Higher than anticipated readings will boost the AUD.
- BOC Meeting (Wed, 17:00 MT (14:00 GMT)) - clouds are gathering over the future of the Canadian interest rates. Easing global growth fears to affect central banks worldwide and the BOC isn’t an exception. Experts can’t come to the consensus about the upcoming policy of the Canadian bank. If the central bank keeps its dovish tone, the CAD will suffer after the meeting. If the bank is able to adopt a holding stance, the loonie will get a chance to appreciate.
- BOJ Meeting (Thu, Tentative) - there will be no changes to the interest rate. The impact of the statement will be limited as well if only the bank doesn’t surprise with unexpected comments.
- US Core Durable Goods Orders (Thu, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – positive actual readings will push the USD up.
- US Advanced GDP (Thu, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – the forecast is neutral. If the actual release outperforms it, the USD will appreciate. Otherwise, American currency may suffer.
Japan Prime Minister has gone for a tour of Europe and North America. The most important event is a meeting with Mr. Trump. Parties are anticipated to discuss North Korea's denuclearization and Japan-US trade negotiations. Comments during this tour may affect related currencies a lot.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.