The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
Important events this week will bring us!
- American CPI, Core CPI (Wed, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – forecasts are mixed with 0.1% for CPI and 0.2% for Core CPI. Pay attention to the actual releases. If they are greater than forecasts, the USD will move up.
- Australian job data – employment change and unemployment rate (Thu, 4:30 MT (1:30 GMT)) – analysts anticipate a smaller amount of employed people in May. However, the level of unemployment is expected to be lower. Let’s see what the real figures are.
- SNB Meeting (Thu, 10:30 MT (07:30 GMT)) – as usual, no changes to the interest rate but comments by the central bank may shake the Swiss franc.
- American Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales (Fr, 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)) – estimates for the change in the total value of sales at the retail level are optimistic. Let’s wait whether the actual numbers are the same.
- On Sunday, Mr. Trump announced that proposed tariffs on Mexican imports would be postponed indefinitely. As a result, the USD/MXN pair opened with a big gap down. The difference between the Friday close price and Monday open price appeared to be more than 3000 points. S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed on Monday morning. The market sentiment improved but analysts doubt it’s a real relief. Uncertainties around the agricultural issues exist: it's unclear whether Mexico agreed to increase agricultural purchases from the US or not.
- The market keeps an eye on the US-China trade dispute. According to the words of Mr. Trump to CNBC, China will make an agreement with the US because “they are going to have to”. At the same time, American president warned that he would decide on additional $300bn tariffs after the G20 summit. The situation may escalate because China is ready to fight back.
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Last week was full of surprises! Stock indices have shown significant growth…
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).