What will happen? The US Q2 Gross Domestic Product will be announced at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3) on Thursday, July 29…
NFP is coming!
What will happen?
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time. The last time, NFP fell short of analysts’ expectations: 49 000 jobs were added in January versus the forecasted 50 000. That was a small gain as the US economy still needs 10 million jobs to offset the pandemic losses. Apart from that, the NFP serves as a base for the future rate decision by the Fed. The high level of the indicator increases the possibility of more rate hikes in future (bullish for the USD), on the other hand, the decline in the NFP figures raises concerns about the economic slowdown and reduces the number of projected rate hikes by the Fed (bearish for the USD).
How to trade on NFP?
NFP can be named the most significant release for all traders as most of the time this indicator makes the market extremely volatile. Pay attention that NFP comes out in combination with average hourly earnings and unemployment rate.
- If all the three indicators come out better than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
- If all the indicators are worse than the forecasts, the USD will drop.
- If NFP comes better, but earnings – worse, the USD will spike at first, but it will fall with the second wave.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!