UK basic wages have experienced a record growth rate, prompting concerns for the Bank of England (BoE) over persistent inflation pressures despite 14 consecutive interest rate hikes. While the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.2%, basic earnings increased by 7.8%, the highest in records from 2001.
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Despite notable fluctuations, the USD is close to its position at the beginning of 2023. HSBC economists are examining the US Dollar's future prospects based on its performance so far. Recent data indicates that a soft landing is the most probable outcome for the US and the global economy.
The upcoming consumer price index (CPI) report for July is projected to indicate a 0…
To properly examine the likely outcome of the Labour data release and the NFP (Non-farm Payrolls), I will be correlating the USD with the value of gold. That said, gold is at a critical juncture as the US Dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rise
Today, the Bank of England has decided to raise interest rates to combat inflation. In its recent report dated the 3rd of August, 2023, the BOE confirmed that it had raised interest rates to 5.25%, expecting that the inflation rates would drop to 2%.
As is the custom, every new month in the financial market often presents long-term, swing trading opportunities for traders like you and me. Even better, FBS is usually there to provide insights into the expected trading opportunities through such analytical pieces as this.
Kazuo Ueda, the Bank of Japan's Governor, effectively adjusted the yield curve control policy, but caution is still needed as inflation remains a challenge. The BoJ expects inflation to hit its target next year, but external inflationary pressures may abate.
On Thursday, the European Central Bank is expected to hike interest rates by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. After July, the certainty of further rate hikes is unclear, leading to a craving for guidance in financial markets
Recently, gold prices settled by -0.41% at 59309 as the dollar and bond yields rose. However, hopes for a pause in US rate hikes limited the decline after the July meeting of the Federal Reserve. The unexpected drop in new claims for unemployment benefits in the US also contributed to the market sentiment.
According to EY, profit warnings among UK-listed companies have reached levels last seen during the financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. More than one in six firms issued profit warnings in the past year due to rising borrowing costs and tightened consumer spending, impacting their margins. Insolvencies in June were 27% higher than the previous year and above pre-pandemic levels, with consumer industries like retail and hospitality being hit the hardest.
According to Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, there was "no discussion" about exchange rates during the recent meeting of Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers and central bank chiefs in India. This news comes as the yen weakened to around ¥145 per dollar last month, prompting concerns that the Japanese government may intervene in the currency market to support the yen.
Gold prices dipped as investors took profits following a near one-month high, but still recorded their biggest weekly gain since April on expectations of a pause in U.S. interest rate hikes. Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,954.69 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures eased 0.2% to $1,959.30. The dollar index edged up 0.2% but remained close to its lowest level since April 2022.