2020-10-08 • Updated
The aussie has been climbing up for the second day amid the ongoing risk-on sentiment. Tomorrow the Reserve Bank of Australia will make a financial stability review. It’s released only twice a year, that’s why it will grab a lot of attention. More optimistic outlook will push the Australian dollar upwards, while more negative – downwards. The RBA has already shown its interest in lowering interest rates, which in turn will lead to the depreciation of the AUD. That’s why it’s significant to pay close attention to this release.
Besides, Chinese PMI will be out a little bit later and will impact not only the Chinese yuan, but also the aussie due to the close trade relationship between Australia and China. Better-than-expected reading will push AUD/USD higher, while worse-than-expected numbers will drive the pair lower.
AUD/USD has just broken through the 38.2% Fibonacci level of 0.7160 and pulled back to it. It should be just a natural short selling after the breakout. Therefore, it’s likely to bounce off this level and after that surge to the next resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7210. On the flip side, the move below this level will drive the price to the intraday low of 0.7130.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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