ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2020-12-16 • Updated
Société Générale predicts that the Austrian dollar will rally up in 2021 due to the Australian fast recovery. Indeed, we cannot but agree that the global economy should steadily grow in the next year as vaccinations will start. As a result, the market sentiment will improve, and investors will stream their capitals into riskier assets like the AUD.
Unlike the USA and European countries, Asia-Pacific countries have almost taken the virus under control. That’s why Société Générale anticipates that Australia’s GDP will return to its pre-pandemic GDP level by the second half of 2021. In comparison, other developed countries are expected to regain all current losses by the end of 2021 and 2022.
The CNH and the AUD are positively correlated due to the close trade relations between countries. Although the China-Australian relationship worsened amid the coronavirus, it should improve during the next year as it’s beneficial for both sides. Elsewhere, Biden’s presidency implies a more rational approach to the US-China trade deal. That’s why global trade is now expected to boost in 2021.
AUD/USD has bounced off the resistance of 0.7580. If it drops below the intraday low of 0.7545, the way down to yesterday’s low of 0.7520 will be clear. Since the pair is moving in an uptrend, we can assume that after a short decline, it will reverse and rally up. The breakout of the resistance level of 0.7580 will drive the pair to the key psychological mark of 0.7600.
The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
What is going on with this energy asset these days, and should we prepare for further falls?
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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