The pair bounced off the key resistance at 1.1900. All eyes on the NFP.
AUD gained on the encouraging retail sales
Risk-on pushed stocks and riskier currencies upward.
The aussie is heading towards a strong resistance area. The AUD/USD will meet the first resistance at the high of June 24 at 0.695. If it breaks it, it may surge further to the key resistance at 0.697 that it has touched several times already. Don’t worry, if price falls after breaking through one of those levels. It’s natural to see fresh selling at first. Most analysts have bullish prospects on the Australian dollar. It’s likely to move even higher towards the more significant resistance at 0.7015. Anyway, support levels are at recent lows of July 1 at 0.6910 and 0.6890 and then at 0.6830, that it has tested several times, but bounced back.
There are many tailwinds for the Australian dollar. Firstly, it got a fresh upward stimulus from the encouraging data that came this morning. The Australian retail sales rose by 16.9%, while the forecast was 16.3%. It is the earliest report that reveal consumer spending, that’s why it’s so important for traders. Secondly, yesterday the US NFP report bet all estimates and improved the market sentiment. As a result, the risk-sensitive aussie gained on the positive data. Finally, successful Covid-19 vaccine experiments from Pfizer and BioNtech strengthened the risk-on tone on the market, as well.
Follow the rate statement of the Reserve Bank of Australia on July 7 at 7:30 MT time. If the RBA gives optimistic prospects for economic recovery, AUD will gain, otherwise – it may fall.
US stocks are set to open lower Friday, with investors worry over rising tensions between the US and China, deadlock over the next virus relief bill and possible disappointments from the key monthly employment report.
The pair was falling down amid the waning US dollar. However, the situation changed this month.
Dollar continues to keep firmer on the day, all eyes on the US jobs report later.