ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2020-10-05 • Updated
The yellow metal is boosted by the poor performance of the USD. What is the forecast?
On Friday, US President Donald Trump announced that he had been positively tested on Covid-19. As a result, the market sentiment deteriorated immediately. Then, the downbeat NFP came out, driving safe-haven currencies to the upside, especially the Japanese yen and the US dollar.
However, today investors have been encouraged by optimistic comments on Trump’s recovery, their confidence strengthened. Consequently, the greenback waned and gold rose. Indeed, the main driver of XAU/USD is the dollar, which is quite volatile amid upcoming presidential elections, which are scheduled for November 3. Besides, continuing fiscal stimulus talks weigh on the market sentiment. Republicans argue for $1.5 trillion, while Democrats insist on $2.2 trillion.
“There is need for new stimulus measures to rally (gold) prices. Without this mojo, there are signs of fatigue creeping into precious metals,” according to Phillip Futures.
Gold has approached a key resistance of $ 1910. This level was acting as strong support since August, but now it plays a role of resistance. If it manages to break it, the doors towards the upper trendline at $1 920 will be open. The way above $1 920 will confirm further bullish momentum and drive the yellow metal upwards to a high of early August at $1 940. On the flip side, if it falls below the key psychological mark of $1 900, the way to September’s dips of $1 850 will be clear.
The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
What is going on with this energy asset these days, and should we prepare for further falls?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
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