Goldman Sachs forecasts GBP will rise

Goldman Sachs advised investors to go long on the pound vs the euro. How far may EUR/GBP drop? Let’s find out!

What happened?

The EU and the UK are planning to reach the Brexit deal in the coming weeks. Wall Street analysts anticipate that both sides will make an agreement as soon as early November, that’s why the British pound is likely to gain since it is really sensitive to Brexit developments. The President of the EU Commission Ursula von der Leyen and UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson have agreed on this weekend to continue talks over main sticking points like fisheries and aid issues. Once the market knows the outcome, the further pound’s further traction will be defined. Overall expectations are more positive, which is beneficial for the GBP. Among pound bulls are Goldman Sachs, Wall Street, and JP Morgan, but, for example, Nomura doesn’t rush nor to buy the pound, neither to sell it, waiting for more clarity in EU-UK negotiations.

Technical tips

EUR/GBP has entered the descending channel, proving the possibility of further pound’s strength. The pair has almost reached the upper trendline, that’s why there’s no more room for the pair to keep rallying up. Therefore, if it reverses from the high of July 27 at 0.9120 and starts falling, it may meet the support at the 200-period moving average of 0.9065. The move below it will drive the pair to Friday’s low of 0.9045. Resistance levels are 0.9120 and 0.9150. Keep an eye on further Brexit news, if you trade the pound!

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Kseniya Medik