Morning brief for March 31

Morning brief for March 31

2019-11-11 • Atualizado

The euro suffered substantial losses overnight after we received softer than expected German and Spanish inflation releases. Decreasing inflation rate prove that the ECB still needs a very substantial degree of monetary policy accommodation and relieves markets superfluous idle talks about the QE tapering.  The US economic data was a mixed bag with solid GDP figures and rising number of unemployment claims. EUR/USD dropped to 1.0675 overnight. The technical outlook for the pair is neutral. The prices will likely continue consolidating within the range of 1.0655 – 1.0690. Today traders will be watching for the euro area monthly inflation readings. Consensus forecasts indicate slight declines. The figures are usually scrutinized by the ECB officials trying to assess the sustainability of prices pressures. So, in case of disappointing headlines, the euro might head into the negative territory.

The yen was the main mover in the past trading sessions. USD/JPY spiked to 112.20 after we received a rather disappointing data on Japan’s household spending and core CPI. Then, USD lost its ground against the yen and slid to 111.80. US dollar watchers will be waiting for core PCE reading and personal spending data which are due at 12:30 MT time. The Chicago PMI and final University Michigan consumer sentiments are also expected tonight. Another focus will be on the speeches of Fed’s officials.

In the early hours of Tokyo morning, we got some comments from the Australian prudential regulator (APRA) on the growth in housing credit. Surging house prices have been a concern for the Australian government.  APRA will try to tighten up lending for housing. What does this news mean for traders? It means that the Reserve Bank of Australia might cut rates further clipping Aussie’s wings. This news didn’t cause and outcry from AUD, but they should be taken into consideration as we approach the next RBA meeting.  AUD/USD dropped to 0.7635, then, partially regained its losses having advanced to 0.7640. There is still a room for further expansion towards 0.7660/0.7680 levels.

GBP/USD rose to 1.2475 in the Asian session. Many analysts believe that the pound can still move higher in the near-term due to a squeeze on existing short GBP and investors’ disbelief in Trump’s ability to push through his pro-growth policies. The immediate resistance can be found at 1.2475. on the downside, there are plenty of supports at 1.2410, 1.2360. They might serve the good turn if today US data beats market’s expectations.

US dollar/loonie was trading choppily in the past sessions trying to imitate the movements of oil prices. USD/CAD dropped to 1.3320, then, regained its ground and rose to 1.3340. Brent oil futures slipped a few points in the Asian session having fallen to $52.80 from yesterday’s high at $53.10.  A tailwind for oil was the Kuwait’s support of the prolongation of the OPEC-led production cut deal. 

Semelhante

Touros do petróleo WTI de olho em US$ 83.00
Touros do petróleo WTI de olho em US$ 83.00

A preocupação com a oferta global mais restrita provocada pela escalada do conflito no Médio Oriente poderá impulsionar os preços do petróleo neste início de semana

Últimas notícias

As expectativas dos mercados giram em torno do PCE dos EUA
As expectativas dos mercados giram em torno do PCE dos EUA

Todas as atenções estarão nos preços básicos do PCE (núcleo) dos EUA, que excluem alimentos e energia para o mês de março, com a expectativa de que os números venham abaixo do mês anterior, que registraram um aumento de 0,4%

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Ligue de volta

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 93
 355
 213
 1684
 376
 244
 1264
 672
 1268
 54
 374
 297
 61
 43
 994
 1242
 973
 880
 1246
 375
 32
 501
 229
 1441
 975
 591
 387
 267
 55
 246
 673
 359
 226
 257
 855
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 238
 1345
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 56
 86
 61
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 57
 269
 242
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 682
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 225
 385
 53
 357
 420
 45
 253
 1767
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 20
 503
 240
 291
 372
 251
 500
 298
 679
 358
 33
 594
 689
 241
 220
 995
 49
 233
 350
 30
 299
 1473
 590
 1671
 502
 224
 245
 592
 509
 39
 504
 852
 36
 354
 91
 62
 98
 964
 353
 44
 972
 39
 1876
 81
 962
 7
 254
 686
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 82
 965
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 856
 371
 961
 266
 231
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 423
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 352
 853
 389
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 60
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 223
 356
 692
 596
 222
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 52
 691
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 976
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 1664
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 95
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 64
 505
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 683
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 51
 63
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 48
 351
 1787
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 262
 40
 7
 250
 590
 290
 1869
 1758
 590
 508
 1784
 685
 378
 239
 966
 221
 381
 248
 232
 65
 421
 386
 677
 252
 27
 500
 34
 94
 249
 597
 268
 46
 41
 963
 886
 992
 255
 66
 670
 228
 690
 676
 1868
 216
 90
 993
 1649
 688
 256
 380
 971
 44
 1
 1
 598
 998
 678
 58
 84
 1284
 1
 681
 2
 967
 260
 263
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