2020-09-18 • Updated
The New Zealand dollar is rising for the sixth straight day, outperforming its major peers. What is the reason? Let’s find out!
The kiwi was driven up by the optimistic comments of Finance Minister Grant Robertson. He claimed that the economic recovery turned out better than initially expected, and this may tone down the dovish Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Just to remind you, the dovish statement will push the NZD down, while the hawkish statement will push the NZD up.
If you forget what these definitions mean, you can always check our glossary and refresh your mind what hawkish and dovish statements stand for.
By the way, the RBNZ will make a rate statement already on Wednesday. Therefore, the NZD will be in the center of traders’ attention in the upcoming days. However, some analysts still believe that the central bank will be forced to impose negative rates next year.
Robertson’s optimism over New Zealand’s sustained recovery was based on the upbeat GDP for the second quarter. After that, he added, that this positive data may influence the rate outlook after March 2021, because the RBNZ has to leave the current rate of 0.25% unchanged until this date.
NZD/USD has stepped out of the ascending channel, it has been trading for 10 days. However, it has failed to stabilize above the 200-week moving average at 0.6790. It’s falling to the low level of the first days of September at 0.6750. The move below this support will drive the pair to yesterday’s low of 0.6710.
The bearish scenario is more likely as the pair is constrained by the upper trendline and the 200-week moving average, so there is no room to run upwards. In addition, the overall market sentiment switched to risk-off, weighing on the riskier assets and underpinning safe-havens such as the US dollar. Resistance levels are 0.6790 and 0.6850.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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