The oil prices rally and world central banks’ dovish monetary policy caused by the Covid-19 pandemic were the main reasons for current inflation growth…
USD/JPY: outlook for August 21-25
2019-11-11 • Updated
USD/JPY had a very volatile week. The pair rebounded from 109.00 to 111.00, but then was rejected down and returned to 109.00.
Japanese GDP showed the biggest expansion in more than 2 years (+1% q/q) in the second quarter as consumer and business spending picked up. However, wage growth and inflation remain subdued as companies avoid passing more of their profits to employees. Japan will release inflation figures on Friday. Although a small acceleration in price growth from 0.4% to 0.5% is expected, this is still very far from the regulator’s 2% inflation target. As a result, risk sentiment will remain the primary driver of the pair.
The market’s risk aversion is feeding demand for the safe-haven yen. Concerns over US President Donald Trump's ability to push through the pro-growth measures led to significant declines on Wall Street. Terrorist attack in Barcelona also affected the markets. North Korea can also be a source of worries.
USD/JPY remains in short- and longer-term downtrend. A decline below 109.00 will open the way down to 108.80 (bottom of the weekly Ichimoku Cloud/August, June lows). In turn, decline below that point will bring the pair down to 108.10 (April low). A break below the latter will be a signal of the bigger top at Forex market. Resistance lies at 109.50, 110.50 and 111.00.
The US dollar index has all chances of reaching the 2000s high of 120.00.
The Consumer Price Index announcement by Statistics Canada is set for release in a few hours will reveal the state of inflation in the Canadian economy
After bouncing off the previous Major trendline last month, Bitcoin seems to be retesting the support area again in hopes of catching a bullish momentum.