2020-12-18 • Updated
The USD has started the day on a positive footing and pushed USD/JPY upwards. Early in the morning the Bank of Japan held the last meeting this year and extended the Covid-19 relief program by the next 6 months. Elsewhere, Japan published core consumer prices, which were in line with market expectations, but still, they marked the largest drop since late 2010. As a result, the Japanese yen dipped and pushed USD/JPY upwards.
USD/JPY is trading in a downtrend, but today the pair has surged up. It is touching the 100-hour moving average and the upper line of the Bollinger Bands. That’s why we can assume it should pull back and start falling. It will meet the 50-hour moving average at 103.30 on its way down, which it’s unlikely to break by the first attempt. If it manages to cross it, it will plummet deeper to the key psychological mark of 103.00. Resistance levels are 103.75 and 104.00.
Brent crude futures is maintaining stability this Friday, with traders awaiting an OPEC+ meeting that might lead to further supply cuts. Brent crude was down 8 cents at $81.34 a barrel, following a 0.7% drop in the previous session.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
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As the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) take center stage, this month's data gains special attention, particularly after the unemployment rate took a concerning turn in the previous month. The US ADP Employment Change reveals a significant decline, with the economy adding 298K new jobs...
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