The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
XAU/USD: bulls are trying to break obstacles
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 1395 TP2 1420
On the daily chart of XAU/USD, the pair reached the upper boundary of the 1310-1360 consolidation for the third time since the end of February. The pair could not break the upper boundary both previous times, but bulls still hope to break it. If bulls manage to break the resistance at 1360-1365, the pair will move to the 127.2% target of the “AB=CD” pattern.
On H1, bulls prevail as long as the pair is above 1321 (the “Broadening wedge” pattern is not implemented). If the pair reaches the April high, odds of the rise to the 161.8% target of the “Crab” pattern will increase.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.