Services and Manufacturing PMIs are out on Wednesday at 11:30 MT time.
5 important things this week will bring us
- Parliament Brexit Vote - (Tue, tentative) – Theresa May postponed the vote, which was scheduled for December, due to the high probability of rejection by the Parliament. However, that delay did not help the prime minister to raise confidence in the current Brexit deal. If Theresa May loses, there are high risks of the Brexit delay as well as the forced government election and the second referendum. In addition, the possibility of a chaotic no-deal Brexit still exists. A negative outcome will pull the British pound down. Today it is recommended to keep an eye on Theresa May’s speech at 17:30 MT time, where she will comment on the current situation and express her opinion on the parliament vote. Her comments will make the British pound volatile.
- US PPI and core PPI m/m – (Tue, 15:30 MT (13:30 GMT) time) – The level of producer price index is expected to decline by 0.1 %, while core PPI will likely advance by 0.2%. Higher-than-expected data will support the USD.
- British CPI – (Wed, 11:30 MT (9:30 GMT) time) – The inflation of Great Britain is going down due to the energy prices. According to analysts, the December level will show a decline to 2.1%. If the actual figures are higher, the GBP will rise.
- Speech by the Bank of Japan governor – (Thu, 5:20 MT (3:30 GMT) time) – The governor of the most dovish bank Haruhiko Kuroda will make his comments on the monetary policy of the Bank of Japan and the economic conditions of Japan. Any unexpected announcements by Mr. Kuroda will bring excitement to the JPY traders.
- Canadian CPI (Fri, 15:30 MT (13:30 GMT) time) – According to experts, the level of consumer price index in Canada will fall by 0.3%. Let’s see if the actual data brings a positive momentum to the Canadian dollar.
- The G20 meeting for finance ministers and central bankers on January 17-18 will be in focus. It will be interesting to hear comments on the current situation in the financial markets.
- The slump of Chinese export and import in December added pressure for reaching a deal with the US. According to the recent news, Chinese Vice-premier Liu He plans to travel to the US for the further talks on the trade deal at the end of the month.
The market sentiment is mixed as investors weigh US stimulus package against the rising infections and worse-than-expected US unemployment claims. Jump in for fresh analysis of EUR/USD, USD/JPY, S&P 500 and gold!
US Initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The US dollar has broken through the key resistance, it failed to cross since March so far. Riskier assets are dipping. Let’s discuss it in detail.